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NBA Betting Systems Explained

Written by Pavel Kateliev
Pavel Kateliev is a popular sport journalist, particularly in the fields of football, basketball, tennis, and hockey. He writes daily for Sportingpedia and his work has been translated into at least 20 languages and featured on renowned outlets such as BBC, Yahoo, MCN, Sun, and Evening News, in Italian, English, Spanish, and Portuguese.
, | Updated: September 12, 2024

Two interlocking gears, one green and one red.As basketball is one of the sports which attract such a staggering betting action, it is only natural that gambling enthusiasts are looking for different ways to enjoy an edge over bookmakers. Unfortunately, sometimes the fact that you are exercising good self-discipline and that you are managing your funds properly does not suffice to bring you the wanted profit.

So as to make sure that NBA betting will be a profitable pursuit, many gambling enthusiasts have started implementing betting systems. It is important to note that the betting systems we will elaborate on are not designed exclusively for NBA betting as some of them might be utilized when wagering on many of the other sports, as well as when playing casino games. Some of you might be attracted by the idea to create their own NBA betting system from scratch as well. No matter whether you prefer to give a shot any of the established betting systems or you wish to devise a system which will work best for you, you should know that NBA betting systems combined with a good command of the sport, as well as proper money management will undoubtedly enhance your performance.

NBA Betting Systems Explained

Moving question mark symbol inside a green circle with motion lines.It is fair to say that wagering on sports has turned into one of the most well-liked pastimes for many punters over the past few years. Although many gamblers go for NBA betting due to the fact that they are looking for a way to run away from their busy daily routine, others venture on basketball betting because of the potential profit. So as to enhance your chances to be successful at this undertaking, you should definitely consider giving any of these betting systems a try.

In the first place, we should make sure that you are aware of the difference between betting systems and betting strategies. In essence, many inexperienced gambling enthusiasts erroneously consider that these terms refer to one and the same thing. Still, when it comes to betting strategies, punters should remember that this term is used to describe a specific approach or a method they will make use of during their sports betting session. Therefore, when wagering on NBA, you need to take account of the factors which might have an impact on the manner in which the game will pan out.

As long as you do not have the remotest idea what betting systems are, you should know that this is a strictly defined set of rules which you can apply to all basketball games, no matter whether you are wagering on the playoffs or the championship. With NBA betting systems, you might be required to wager a specific amount of money each time you win or lose, or to increase or decrease the amount staked depending on your results.

Once we have made sure that you are aware of the difference between betting strategies and betting systems, we should cast some light on the various types of betting systems as well. The sports betting systems can easily be divided into three categories which include positive progressions, negative progressions, as well as insurance betting. When it comes to positive betting progressions, punters might be delighted to find out that they will not be required to possess that large bankroll so as to utilize them. This is definitely not the case with negative betting progressions due to the fact that they might turn out to be quite risky and to eat up your bankroll in the twinkling of an eye. With insurance betting, however, you will need to lessen the size of your stake after you experience a loss which might turn out to be a nice way to safeguard your funds.

How to Apply an NBA Betting System

How to Apply an NBA Betting SystemAs it was already stated, NBA betting systems will give you guidelines on what to do in this specific situation. Thus, thanks to these systems, gambling enthusiasts will be able to puzzle out whether they need to augment or to decrease their stakes after they have experienced a loss or after they have managed to score a win over. It goes without saying that the size of your bankroll will matter as well.

The Martingale Betting System

The Martingale Betting SystemAny knowledgeable basketball bettor will tell you that the Martingale betting system is one of the most preferred systems not only when it comes to gambling on NBA, but also on various other sports and casino games. One of the problems which are associated with this betting system is that punters need to possess a more sizeable bankroll so as to apply it properly. The system was created in the 18th century by John Henry Martingale, and according to it, basketball lovers are required to double the size of their stakes after a loss and to make a reset of the wagered amount after a win. NBA bettors should take into account the fact that they should apply the Martingale betting system at odds of something of the order of 2.00.

The reason why gambling enthusiasts decide to give it a shot is that thanks to it, they will stand a good chance to enjoy some eye-watering prizes. On the downside, you might not manage to reach the point at which you will get this profit simply because you might run out of money more rapidly than you have expected. The underlying principle of the system is that even one win will suffice to compensate for the losses you have experienced so far, but you should know that this might not always be the case.

The D’Alembert Betting System

The D'Alembert Betting SystemThe D’Alembert betting system bears a resemblance with the Martingale betting system due to the fact that punters will be able to gain back the money they have lost. The biggest dissimilarity between the two systems stems from the fact that this time, NBA lovers will have the chance to gradually get back their money, instead of recovering them at once. With this betting system, basketball lovers will need to lessen their stakes after they have scored a win, and to augment them after they have sustained a loss. One of the advantages of the D’Alembert betting system is that punters will be less likely to fritter away their entire bankroll as speedily as with the Martingale betting system.

One of the main reasons why this betting system is so alluring is that gamblers are not required to augment their stakes that immoderately, meaning that they will be less likely to end up with an exhausted bankroll. It is worth noting that with this betting system, you will be required to decide on a bet amount and to stick to it each time when you make a stake. This is precisely what makes the D’Alembert betting system more conservative and therefore, less risky.

Let’s assume that you have decided to give the system a shot and the bet amount you have picked stands at $5. If your first stake has turned out to be a winning one, this will mean that your second stake should stand at $10. As long as you have made a correct prediction, this time, you should put on the line $15. If your fourth stake was a losing one, this would mean that you will be compelled to decrease the amount wagered, and to put on the line as much as $10.

Although the D’Alembert betting system might not grant you that bountiful rewards, it may turn out to be a nice way to venture on NBA betting, especially if you are risk-averse.

The Paroli Betting System

The Paroli Betting SystemThe Paroli betting system is undoubtedly one of the systems which are praised by many NBA bettors due to the fact that thanks to it, they can get more substantial profit. Prior to employing this betting system, gambling aficionados should make sure that they have decided on their base stake. Of course, while making up their mind, basketball fans should ensure that they have taken into consideration the size of their bankroll.

The underlying principle of this betting system is that punters are required to double up the amount wagered after they have made a successful prediction. It is important to note that you will be compelled to stop augmenting your stake after you have enjoyed three wins in a row. As long as this occurs, you will need to start with wagering the base stake you have picked. The same refers to losing stakes as once again, gamblers will need to drop back to the base stake unit they have initially chosen.

The biggest benefit of the Paroli betting system is that it works in an extremely simple manner which makes it suitable for all types of gamblers, no matter whether they are old hands or newbies. Other than that, gambling aficionados should not necessarily possess a huge bankroll in order to make use of it, meaning that you will be able to give it a shot even if you are on a tight spot. And last but not least, NBA bettors will stand a good chance to enjoy small wins consistently.

The Fibonacci Betting System

The Fibonacci Betting SystemBeing a negative betting progression, the Fibonacci betting system requires you to increase your wager after you have sustained a loss. Luckily, utilizing this betting system is not overly complicated which makes it an appealing option for many NBA bettors. With that betting system, gambling aficionados should keep on augmenting their stakes, even if they have made a losing wager. The reason why you should do this is to endeavor to get back the money you have lost on your last two unsuccessful bets.

So as to make sure that you will be capable of utilizing the Fibonacci betting system, first, you should memorize the sequence you need to stick to during your NBA betting session. It is important to note that the first number in the sequence is 0, and if you wish to get the next numbers, you simply need to add up the previous two numbers. In other words, the Fibonacci sequence will look like this: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, and so on. What we should pay special attention to is the fact that each of the above-mentioned numbers represents the number of the units you should stake.

Let’s presume that you have decided to wager as much as $10 and your stake has turned out to be a losing one. In this scenario, you will be compelled to stake $10 once more. If you have not managed to get it right about your predictions, this time, you should stake as much as $20. As long as you have sustained a loss once more, according to the Fibonacci sequence, you need to stake as much as $30, and so on. In the event that you have managed to score a win, you should not forget to drop back two units.

The biggest problem you might face when utilizing the Fibonacci betting system stems from the fact that if you are on a long losing streak, the amount of money you will be compelled to put on the line will keep on growing at quite a fast pace. Thus, there are two probable scenarios as you can either lay out all your funds or reach the limits the bookie has imposed.

Kelly Criterion

Kelly CriterionIt is safe to say that the Kelly Criterion is one of the most fancied sports betting systems due to the fact that it scrapes by providing the needed equilibrium between risk and reward. In other words, NBA bettors can capitalize on this betting system when they wish to make the most of their winning stakes, and at the same time, to reduce to a minimum the chances of misspending their entire bankroll. In the event that these are precisely the goals you have set, the Kelly Criterion is worth investigating.

At its core, the Kelly Criterion is a mathematical formula you can utilize so as to figure out how much money you should consider putting on the line per a single stake. Although at this stage, utilizing this NBA betting system might seem to you as easy as pie, the hardest thing about it remains that punters need to add the probability of their stake to become a winning one and a losing one to the equation. It goes without saying that this might turn out to be extremely intimidating, especially if you are a total greenhorn at basketball betting. The reason why you should decide on the chances of your stake to become a winning one is that thus, you will be making larger stakes when you are more likely to win, and smaller stakes when making a successful prediction is less on the cards. To put it in another way, thanks to the Kelly Criterion, the profit you will stand the chances of getting will exceed the losses you have experienced.

It is safe to say that telling the exact probability of an event to come about might turn out to be quite daunting due to the fact that NBA lovers need to take into consideration a number of factors which might have an impact on the course of the matches. Therefore, it might be harder for you to decide on these values, especially if you are a novice.

So as to figure out how much money they should stake, NBA lovers should make use of the following formula: ((B x P) – Q) / B. Here, P reflects the chances of your stake to become a winning one, whereas Q will indicate the chances of your stake to turn out to be a losing one. B, on the other hand, will stand for the multiple of your stake you will stand the chance to sweep. So as to get this value, you simply need to subtract 1 from the value of the odds on the event which has taken your fancy. It is important to note that as long as the value you have eventually got is positive, you should consider casting such a stake. In the event that the value is negative, however, you should refrain from making such a stake.

Despite the fact that the views of old hands at NBA betting are across the spectrum, many of them consider that the Kelly Criterion is a great alternative when you are unsure how much money you should put on the line in the specific situation. Other than that, this betting system will also allow you to manage your funds properly, especially if you tend to be rather hot-headed during your NBA betting session.

Building Your Own NBA Betting System

Building Your Own NBA Betting SystemOnce you have gained better knowledge about NBA betting systems, you might be allured by the idea to build your own system. Gambling aficionados should be aware of the fact that the data points they are allowed to implement into their betting system are quite diverse, meaning that in practice, they can incorporate almost all parameters.

After you have made up your mind that you wish to gamble on NBA, it is advised to wager only on this competition so as to enhance your chances to enjoy good results. If you do not stick to wagering only on basketball, you will start spreading yourself too thin.

If you wish to make the first move in order to create a proper NBA betting system, you should pursue the factors which you think might be weighty. By this, we mean that basketball lovers should endeavor to create a list of all the factors which might influence the manner in which the game will pan out one way or another. If you prefer, you might also estimate the significance of each of the factors using percentages.

The next thing you should do is to include all the major factors you have decided on into a checklist. In this way, NBA lovers will be able to puzzle out whether all of the factors they have incorporated will turn out. Once you have figured out which criteria will work best for you, you simply need to track down an NBA match which will give you the opportunity to try your criteria for size.

As long as you are still reluctant to put any money on the line, a nice alternative might be to include your stakes into a spreadsheet but not to cast them. Thus, as long as your criteria are far from perfect, you will be able to find out where the problem is without losing any money. On the downside, as long as your system works properly, you might become irritated that you have missed the profit.

If you wish to play it safe, you should consider making some smaller bets. In this way, it will be much easier for you to spot the issues which have to do with the criteria you have included. In the event that your system works well, you will not only have a whale of your time, but you will also get some profit.

NBA lovers who wish to enjoy bountiful results over the long haul should not fail to keep a record of their results. By this, we do not only mean that gambling enthusiasts should keep abreast of their winning and losing streaks. In essence, what we recommend doing is to watch closely the manner in which the games on which you have wagered will pan out so as to find out which aspects of your basketball betting system need to be refined. Still, we do not want tо make you think that you should keep a record of your results only if your system does not work properly. In fact, it is just the other way around as you should do so no matter of the results you have achieved. In the event that you have managed to find the right approach, you will be able to start building on your NBA betting system so that it could correspond with your style of play and the results you wish to attain.

It is important to note that when you are testing your NBA betting system, you should make sure that you have applied it to more than just a couple of games so that you could get a clearer idea whether it works or it needs to be refined. The best way to achieve this is to take account of trends as they will speak a lot in terms of the accuracy of your decisions.

The most essential thing you should do is to make use of the results you have got so as to improve your performance. It is essential to remember that you should have realistic expectations about your NBA betting session and that you should not get disheartened if your results differ from what you want at the very beginning. Thus, when you pay attention to the data you have collected, it will be much easier for you to find out what is working for you.

Conclusion

ConclusionNBA betting systems might turn out to be the best tool which can help you hammer bookmakers. One of the biggest advantages of applying a betting system when wagering on basketball is that it will give a structure to your gambling adventure. Basketball lovers are undoubtedly spoiled for choice due to the fact that they are allowed to select from a nice variety of established betting systems. Alternatively, they might be allured by the idea to build a betting system on their own. As long as the latter option appeals to you more, you should be prepared that this will take more efforts and time.

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